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Shares of RXO Inc. NYSE: RXO are up greater than 20% on the week, one thing buyers in all probability didn’t see popping out of the ‘boring’ transportation sector. This sector is infamous for having a low beta, English for low volatility. RXO inventory has a beta under 1.0, which means the corporate’s inventory value will transfer lower than the every day transfer within the broader S&P 500 index.


+0.02 (+0.07%)

(As of 07/2/2024 ET)

52-Week Vary


Worth Goal

Due to this quiet conduct, buyers want to analyze why the inventory is transferring so aggressively shortly. The reply lies in an announcement made earlier within the week when RXO administration introduced a brand new potential acquisition deal. United Parcel Service Inc. NYSE: UPS can be letting go of its Coyote Logistics branch for a stipulated $1 billion valuation. RXO shall be there to choose up the invoice.

Contemplating that shares of United Parcel Service have been flat to damaging upon the information launch, buyers can considerably assume that letting go of Coyote Logistics is definitely not the perfect transfer for the corporate, however what’s one man’s trash shortly turns into one man’s treasure, or so do Wall Avenue forecasts recommend for the way forward for RXO inventory right this moment.

RXO Dominates the Market with Promising Progress Prospects for Buyers

The transportation trade is due for a change, significantly the truckload brokerage and providers sector, which is precisely the place buyers can count on RXO to start out churning out some greater steps transferring ahead. The corporate’s measurement is the principle issue enabling this to be the case.

A $3 billion market capitalization for RXO stands nicely under United Parcel Service’s $117 billion and peer KnightSwift Transportation Holdings Inc. NYSE: KNX and its $8 billion market capitalization. Some buyers might view a smaller measurement as a difficulty. Nonetheless, this might profit a altering economic system, which has remained fixed because the COVID-19 pandemic.

Total MarketRank™
0.88 out of 5

Analyst Ranking
Cut back

Upside/Draw back
26.4% Draw back

Brief Curiosity

Dividend Energy


Information Sentiment

Insider Buying and selling
Buying Shares

Projected Earnings Progress

See Full Particulars

Why? RXO can modify and transfer from one technique to a different faster than its greater friends, as a tanker ship takes longer to vary course than a speedboat. Wall Avenue analysts know this, so they’re now forecasting as much as 261.1% earnings per share (EPS) progress for RXO inventory this 12 months.

Whereas daring, the market is welcoming these assumptions, because the inventory is now bid as much as a ahead P/E ratio of 41.9x, commanding a premium of 141% over KnightSwift’s 17.4x valuation and a premium of 200% over United Parcel Service’s 14.1x ahead P/E a number of.

After all, value motion must be thought-about as one other proxy. RXO inventory trades at a brand new 52-week excessive, even discounting the current information rally, leaving KnightSwift inventory behind on its 81% and United Parcel Service as the underside performer at solely 70% of its 52-week excessive.

What the New Deal Means for RXO Inventory: Key Takeaways for Buyers

The corporate was sort sufficient to make a detailed presentation for investors on its web site, however these sometimes contain a whole lot of advertising and ‘really feel good’ viewpoints. Transferring exterior of these components and into the meat of the deal, right here’s what buyers can count on.

Scale and diversification are the 2 fundamental results this acquisition may have on RXO inventory. Contemplating it’s the fourth largest truckload dealer within the U.S., including Coyote Logistics will diversify the corporate’s transport into meals and beverage and make it—reportedly—the third greatest within the nation.

Whereas RXO solely counts 4,000 clients right this moment, Coyote Logistics would deliver roughly 15,000 clients and over 97,000 carriers on board. Greater than that, including Coyote’s $3.2 billion in income would practically double RXO’s present $3.9 billion.

And the perfect half? The corporate is taking no debt and utilizing no money to make this transaction occur, so buyers don’t want to fret about RXO swallowing up a mountain of debt to make this deal occur, as is commonly the case in different mergers and acquisitions examples.

Earlier than you contemplate United Parcel Service, you may wish to hear this.

MarketBeat retains observe of Wall Avenue’s top-rated and finest performing analysis analysts and the shares they advocate to their purchasers every day. MarketBeat has recognized the 5 shares that high analysts are quietly whispering to their purchasers to purchase now earlier than the broader market catches on… and United Parcel Service wasn’t on the checklist.

Whereas United Parcel Service presently has a “Maintain” ranking amongst analysts, top-rated analysts consider these 5 shares are higher buys.

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